INFORMATION CHANGE THE WORLD

International Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computing(IJMSC)

ISSN: 2310-9025 (Print), ISSN: 2310-9033 (Online)

Published By: MECS Press

IJMSC Vol.6, No.5, Oct. 2020

A Mathematical Model for Predicting Rate of Divorce Tendency in Nigeria: A Study of Taraba State, Nigeria

Full Text (PDF, 944KB), PP.15-28


Views:0   Downloads:0

Author(s)

Ogwumu Onah.David, Kyagya T.Yusuf, Amakoromo Grace.I., Keto, Kingsley M., Ezeh A.Tochukwu., Ogofotha Marvellous O., Elugah Joseph.I.

Index Terms

rate of divorce, model prediction, Income Difference parameter, Educational Difference parameter, Age Difference parameter, Least Squares Method.

Abstract

Given that divorce has become a recurring challenge with increasing intensity in our world today accompanying broken families, economy and social contagion, as well as the existence of difference in happiness between the couple and their children. Thus, a mathematical model for predicting the rate of divorce tendencies in the Nigerian society is hereby developed. Factors influencing the rate of divorce were outlined and mathematical relationships between these factors were established. Afterwards, the developed model was validated and the real life data collected were contrasted with the model data predictions using suitable statistical tools. The findings from the comparison showed that the real life data and the model data predictions have a higher degree of correlation; consequently, recommending the model as a benchmark measure for predicting rate of divorce/marital instability in Nigeria. In the same vein, recommendations were made at the end of the model analysis which when adhered to would yield.

Cite This Paper

Ogwumu Onah.David, Kyagya T.Yusuf, Amakoromo Grace.I., Keto, Kingsley M., Ezeh A.Tochukwu., Ogofotha Marvellous  O., Elugah Joseph.I.. " A Mathematical Model for Predicting Rate of Divorce Tendency in Nigeria: A Study of Taraba State, Nigeria ", International Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computing (IJMSC), Vol.6, No.5, pp.15-28, 2020. DOI: 10.5815/IJMSC.2020.05.02

Reference

[1] M. Buchibrand, 7 forms of divorce in Africa, Retrieved on 22nd May 2018 from https://www.nairaland.com/2526539/7-forms-divorce-africa, 2016.

[2] N. Em, National Bureau of Statistics reveal low divorce rate in Nigeria. Article on marriage. Retrieved on 15th June, 2018, from https://www.naija.ng/887623-must-read-based-stats-one-thing-nigerians-rarely.html#887623, 2017.

[3] G. Grath, The childless marriage an expository study of couples who do not want children. An Article on family. Retrieved on 20th June 2018.http://www.guidea.com.br/the-childless-marriage-an-exploratory-study-of-couples-who-do-not-want-children.pdf, 2001. 

[4] L. A. Obiani, Social indicators and effects of marriage divorce in African societies. The Business & Management Review, Volume 4 Number 4. Retrieved on the 19th June, 2018, from https://pdfs.semanticscholar.org/56fc/5403c212d56827b223b0f7c3b12fdc670e5b, 2014.

[5] L. Shawn, Informal separation; a way to save your marriage, or just delaying the inevitable. Retrieved on the 1st August, 2018 from, https://divorceandyourmoney.com/blogs/informal-separation, 2017. 

[6] A. Vida, Determinants of divorce in Ghana, 2008. Retrieved on 18th June, 2018 from http://www.ugspace.ug.edu.gh/bitstream/handle/123456789/5438/Vida%20Akuamoah_Determinants_of_divorce, 2013.

[7] The Bible: What Marriage is, Genesis 2:24,  Thus it is for this cause that a man shall leave his mother and clings to his wife and together they become one, Retrieved on the 19th June 2018, from http://www.e-bible.com/kjv .

[8] The law dictionary. What is divorce? Featuring Black's Law Dictionary Free Online Legal Dictionary 2nd Ed. Retrieved on the 25th June, 2018, from https://thelawdictionary.org/divorce/.

[9] Sheilalacadin, Divorce Process: Making It Easy For The Children. Dependable Homebuyers. Retrieved on the 27th of March, 2020 from https://www.dependablehomebuyers.com/blog/divorce-process-making-it-easy-for-the-children/, 2019.

[10] P. P. Gambrah.  and Y. Adzadu,  Mathematical model of divorce epidemic in Ghana. International Journal of Statistics and Applied Mathematics. 2018, 3(2): 395-401,

[11] I. Duato, and L. Jódar, Mathematical modelling of the spread of divorce in Spain. Mathematical and Computer Modelling. 2013; 57: 1732–1737

[12] R. L., Simons, K. H.  Lin., L. C., Gordon, R. D. Conger, and F. O., Lorenz, Explaining the higher incidence of adjustment problems among children of divorce compared with those in two-parent families. Journal of Marriage and the Family. 1999; 61:1020-1034.

[13] K. N.,  Hipke, S. A., Wolchik, I. N. Sandler and S. L., Braver, Predictors of children’s intervention-induced resilience in a parenting program for divorced mothers. Family Relations 2002; 51:121-130. 

[14] E. M. Hetherington and M. Stanley-Hagen, The Adjustment of children with divorced parents: A risk and resiliency perspective. Journal of Child Psychology. 1999; 40:129-140.

[15] H. Nair and A. D. Murray, Predictors of attachment security in preschool children from intact and divorced families. Journal of Genetic Psychology. 2005; 166:245-263. 

[16] N. Kalu, How to Divorce in Nigeria. Step by Step Guides, Documents and Requirements. Retrieved on the 19th June, 2018, from https://infoguidenigeria.com/divorce-nigeria-step-step-guides-documents-requirements/, 2015.

[17] Lawpadi, Grounds for divorce in Nigeria. Family and Health by Admin. Retrieved 16th June, 2018 from http://www.lawpadi.com/grounds-for-divorce-in-nigeria/, 2018.