A Mathematical Model for Predicting Rate of Divorce Tendency in Nigeria: A Study of Taraba State, Nigeria

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Ogwumu O.D. 1,* Kyagya T. Y. 1 Amakoromo Grace.I. 1 Keto 1 Kingsley M. 1 Ezeh A.Tochukwu. 1 Ogofotha Marvellous O. 1 Elugah Joseph.I. 1

1. Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Federal University Wukari, Nigeria

* Corresponding author.

DOI: https://doi.org/10.5815/ijmsc.2020.05.02

Received: 10 May 2020 / Revised: 17 Jun. 2020 / Accepted: 15 Jul. 2020 / Published: 8 Oct. 2020

Index Terms

rate of divorce, model prediction, Income Difference parameter, Educational Difference parameter, Age Difference parameter, Least Squares Method.


Given that divorce has become a recurring challenge with increasing intensity in our world today accompanying broken families, economy and social contagion, as well as the existence of difference in happiness between the couple and their children. Thus, a mathematical model for predicting the rate of divorce tendencies in the Nigerian society is hereby developed. Factors influencing the rate of divorce were outlined and mathematical relationships between these factors were established. Afterwards, the developed model was validated and the real life data collected were contrasted with the model data predictions using suitable statistical tools. The findings from the comparison showed that the real life data and the model data predictions have a higher degree of correlation; consequently, recommending the model as a benchmark measure for predicting rate of divorce/marital instability in Nigeria. In the same vein, recommendations were made at the end of the model analysis which when adhered to would yield.

Cite This Paper

Ogwumu Onah.David, Kyagya T.Yusuf, Amakoromo Grace.I., Keto, Kingsley M., Ezeh A.Tochukwu., Ogofotha Marvellous  O., Elugah Joseph.I.. " A Mathematical Model for Predicting Rate of Divorce Tendency in Nigeria: A Study of Taraba State, Nigeria ", International Journal of Mathematical Sciences and Computing (IJMSC), Vol.6, No.5, pp.15-28, 2020. DOI: 10.5815/IJMSC.2020.05.02


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