Meta-Population Modelling and Simulation of the Dynamic of Malaria Transmission with Influence of Climatic Factors

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Justin-Herve NOUBISSI 1,* Jean Claude Kamgang 2 Eric Ramat 3 Januarius Asongu 4 Christophe Cambier 5

1. Université Pierre et Marie Curie-Sorbonne Universités, Paris, France

2. ENSAI-Université de Ngaoundere, Ngaoundere, Cameroon

3. Universitédu Littoral Côte d’Opale, Calais, France

4. Saint Monica University, Buea, Cameroon

5. UniversitéPierre et Marie Curie-Sorbonne Universités, Paris, France

* Corresponding author.


Received: 3 Oct. 2016 / Revised: 6 Feb. 2017 / Accepted: 20 Apr. 2017 / Published: 8 Jul. 2017

Index Terms

Modelling, Simulation, Compartmental models, DEVS, Meta-population model, VLE


We model the dynamic of malaria transmission taking into account climatic factors and the migration between Douala and Yaounde´, Yaounde´ and Ngaounde´re´, three cities of Cameroon country. We show how variations of climatic factors such as temperature and relative humidity affect the malaria spread. We propose a meta-population model of the dynamic transmission of malaria that evolves in space and time and that takes into account temperature and relative humidity and the migration between Douala and Yaounde´, Yaounde´ and Ngaounde´re´. More, we integrate the variation of environmental factors as events also called mathematical impulsion that can disrupt the model evolution at any time. Our modelling has been done using the Discrete EVents System Specification (DEVS) formalism. Our implementation has been done on Virtual Laboratory Environment (VLE) that uses DEVS formalism and abstract simulators for coupling models by integrating the concept of DEVS.

Cite This Paper

Justin-Herve NOUBISSI, Jean Claude Kamgang, Eric Ramat, Januarius Asongu, Christophe Cambier, "Meta-Population Modelling and Simulation of the Dynamic of Malaria Transmission with Influence of Climatic Factors", International Journal of Information Technology and Computer Science(IJITCS), Vol.9, No.7, pp.1-16, 2017. DOI:10.5815/ijitcs.2017.07.01


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